Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 16.431711 18.643891 21.052562 23.871392 27.081814 30.626793 34.841461
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 13.255554 16.136595 19.505931 23.742864 28.937222 35.109057 43.016220
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 10.503168 13.616360 17.497925 22.705378 29.529217 38.195086 50.081403
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.426419 11.583045 15.760922 21.716375 30.024866 41.260350 57.701837
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.027506 10.210409 14.668271 21.400456 31.371660 45.692698 67.997772
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.017808 9.215557 13.941744 21.483641 33.313234 51.316328 81.096945
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.142871 8.276746 13.150331 21.345461 34.921378 56.758287 95.031567
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.588345 7.744960 12.900101 22.018051 37.943214 64.974346 115.101608
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.014658 7.087610 12.343003 22.093483 39.999989 71.990618 134.601774
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.423520 6.303237 11.445744 21.425646 40.642085 76.676423 150.907782
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.980733 5.712734 10.797542 21.100905 41.865429 82.666447 170.993967
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.711317 5.403593 10.620878 21.649057 44.891077 92.710413 201.431962
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.492869 5.169239 10.572799 22.497391 48.803880 105.540468 241.204438
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.236193 4.814668 10.227256 22.671894 51.350322 116.057940 278.459860
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.937595 4.321216 9.510751 21.911651 51.689242 121.803967 306.046240
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.682705 3.881571 8.839582 21.135396 51.856256 127.238707 334.352967
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.505466 3.589833 8.454545 20.969161 53.488644 136.615831 375.362893
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.373077 3.382059 8.231816 21.164812 56.094992 149.059790 428.034707
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.243441 3.159152 7.935575 21.120170 58.077337 160.335931 480.494836
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.167759 3.060272 7.934003 21.861423 62.387351 179.004213 560.123500
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.071921 2.892349 7.725702 21.997655 65.023084 193.529349 631.025533
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.956276 2.651437 7.282094 21.380595 65.316259 201.207598 681.989027
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.867281 2.469669 6.970886 21.094355 66.570482 212.166140 747.287468